Quote from: MatthewLM on August 23, 2011, 08:31:18 PM

Quote from: foggyb on August 23, 2011, 07:16:02 PM

Quote from: MatthewLM on August 23, 2011, 07:09:04 PM

Gold could "correct" in the short term....

I hope so! I've been waiting for a downturn so I can buy.

Looks like it's going back to $1800 for now could go further but be warned that gold is sensitive to small irrelevant things like Bernanke announcing QE3 even though the federal reserve will create money regardless and the ponzi scheme wont end until it comes crashing down.

What appears to happen in markets like gold:

1. Genuine demand from investors and producers pushes price up.
2. Silly speculators see the price doing up and they start buying.
3. Price goes up too high. Speculative bubble.
4. Silly speculators now think the market is "overbought" (Thanks to themselves no doubt) and so they sell. Or they profit-take at certain points.
5. Price comes down.
6. Certain people get annoyed at this. Certain speculators lose out and others win. Investors get annoyed because the price isn't being stabilised by smart short to medium term speculation.

I think technical analysis is only good int he short term. Using it for medium or longer terms is not any good. Technical analysis says something is overbought when it's simply just increasing demand.

I was thinking about selling today but I knew it was too risky to make short term bets. I definitely just want to hold on to gold as central banks kill fiat and more and more people see the benefit to gold.

I agree if you want to short gold in the short term, if you are prepared to do more regular trades but shorting gold for the long term is stupid in my opinion.

Once again...

Quote from: MatthewLM on August 23, 2011, 07:09:04 PM

Quote from: cypherdoc on August 23, 2011, 06:50:13 PM

$40 for SLV will not hold.

Do you disagree with the quantity theory of money? Does the trillions being poured into the money supply of dollars not matter? Dollars are a better investment than gold which has a stable supply? The US debt ponzi scheme, completely irrelevant? Forced low interest rates, really doesn't matter? Buy more dollars with borrowed gold? Dollars are really great?

you know what? i'm getting sick and tired of you calling contrary opinions (or me) to yours "silly" and "stupid". how many DAYS did i have to educate your lame stupid ass in the Bitrebel thread about the Fed balance sheet about a month ago?

to get to your question. i think M2 is ramping b/c everyone is cashing out of money mkt funds as they are forced to liquidate bonds from the debt downgrade and move USD's into regular bank accts. this is why you're seeing Bank of NY Mellon charging for holding deposits. because they can. so its misleading to say the Fed is pumping new money into the markets.

if you read my earlier posts in this thread, yes the USD can skyrocket from here if enough debt liquidation is forced thru defaults or margin calls raising the demand for cash to pay off these bad debts. you can look at this 2 ways; an overall decrease in the number of virtual plus real USD's floating around or as a scramble to grab the real USD's to pay off the bad virtual USD debts. either way the USD rises.

the $DXY is at the bottom of its consolidation channel. from here we should get a huge ramp. talk about a panic from that happening...