It's like pulling a dime and waiting for heads or tails - you have 50% chance in both situations.
In this way and not exposing you as you did before, you gave two opposite analyzes and with the same probability of success, so in both cases you will be right! .....
In this way and not exposing you as you did before, you gave two opposite analyzes and with the same probability of success, so in both cases you will be right! .....
Not exactly - as you can see, OP left carte blanche to the market only for the short term. For the long term he still keeps his unfavorable view on Bitcoin and crypto markets in general - still insisting on the long term BTC crash to 4k or even sub-1k. Quite stubborn guy, I would say
Rather than using the word, "stubborn", perhaps "filled with hopium" might be a better description....?
You guys are laughing and mocking OP, but oddly enough you're all still watching what he has to say.
Well, as to me, I am not laughing or mocking (never did), just sometimes express my disagreement with few points, and some suspicions on the intentions. But as to the rest - yep, still following. It is always interesting to see what a smart and educated person has to say... even if you don't fully share his viewpoint and opinion
Seems that I largely agree with your response Drays... and I would just supplement your points by asserting that a thread like this (35 pages long, by the way), can take some life of its own after being in existence for nearly 11 months, and a response to OP in February or March would likely be different from a response today, and furthermore, OP might appreciate the extent to which what s/he asserted then has played out or not, and whether there may have been some combination of luck in whatever assertion was then made that is subsequently more clear based on some hindsight.
Exactly what I have always said myself, "defending" OP several times from other users; "easy" today to make predictions and talk about catastrophes, crash market or recovery from 2020 onwards, but what I have always stressed is that OP author did it in January, first in the bitcointalk forum, and when everyone expected and called Bitcoin to new Ath.
Several times he was attacked that he changed his analysis during the various phases of the market, demanding from him a precision and an accuracy that can not be in any market, even more in this crypto.
The final and total analysis is the one that counts from the count Elliot of OP, and he has indicated several times around 1000 $ as the final target of Bitcoin in 2020.
Extraordinary still the importance and the note of the deadline of the future CBOE of yesterday, with the collapse of the entire market, expected in its "main" chart.