Quote from: jbreher on January 14, 2019, 04:00:28 PM

Quote from: nutildah on January 14, 2019, 07:33:25 AM

And incredibly, you're wrong far more often than right. Do you use the same principles when making your spectacularly wrong predictions about BCH and SV price movement?

I can admit those were bad calls. Financially. So far. But from a technical perspective.... I anticipate the market will come around to the superior solution. Admittedly, becoming less sure of this as time goes on. What's the saying? Oh yeah. The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.

Dollar cost averaging and accumulation based incrementalism works much better when an asset is long term uptrending and has solid fundamentals. Of course, there are no guarantees regarding which assets fit these criteria, so we make our best assessment about the asset(s) in order to figure out what assets have the best fit (and probabilities for fit).

In the "crypto" (mostly, I hate that fucking word) space, only bitcoin deserves any kind of meaningful assessment of long term uptrending fundamentals. All the rest are copy cats and they do not really achieve bitcoin's soundness of money, which is the main criteria for consideration of fundamentals.

If you attempt to apply such principles to other crypto assets, such as bcash (which should realistically be known as an ongoing attack vector on bitcoin, snake oil, sham, pump and dump) or any of the other shitcoins, then you are merely short-term gambling, rather than long-term investing based on sound principles.

So, if your mistake was to conclude that bcash was the real bitcoin (or going to become the real bitcoin), you were really taken for a ride (or perhaps wishful fantasylandia thinking?), when that kind of assessment should have been quite clear by most anyone who had been involved in the bitcoin space for any meaningful amount of time. I could understand that perhaps some folks could have been reasonably fooled into some of the bcash narrative, and perhaps scared into hedging into bcash with perhaps 20% or so of their crypto value, but any amount more than that would have been (and continue to be) imprudent, if not embarrassingly foolish.