Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
by
kurious
on 04/04/2019, 12:47:11 UTC
Inspired by Kurious' recent post, I'd like to post about some related things I've been thinking about:

It seems there are two schools of thought regarding the bubble cycle we've just begun.

  • That it will be the same length as every other cycle, as dictated by the halvings. Bubble top: late 2021/early 2022
  • Or, that the cycles have been lengthening, and therefore our current cycle will be the longest and hit the top later than in previous cycles. Bubble top: late 2022/early 2023

There's a great debate, on this exact subject, between two of the best analysts on crypto twitter here: https://twitter.com/filbfilb/status/1078316170493734918

It seems that scenario 2 is the consensus among the majority of analysts (and previously myself) - that the next bubble will gain a lower percentage than previous bubbles, and it will take longer. Something like this:



However, there are reasons to believe that may not be the case:

[snip]
Hey infofront - well done for taking the time to really dig deep.

Great post, great research and graphics too.  Classy stuff.  

I do enjoy the thread thinking for itself and challenging accepted dogma - the quality and variety of expertise here is as wide as the subjects covered in these pages; it's capable of applying independent thought to almost anything under the sun.... and far, far beyond it.

Long live the WO!

EDIT: for sense and stuff