That post is dated Dec 2, 2018. We did find the local bottom just a little above 3k. Not that far out, actually. We're a bit ahead of the times, as several noted WO posters already pointed out. Masterluc's never been one for accurate short term predictions, but this is longer term, and I could live with his 200k by Dec 2020 estimate.

(Lag disclaimer - I'm a dozen or so pages behind, so apologizing in advance if this discussion's stale already.)