Quote from: Betwrong on July 13, 2019, 12:57:05 PM

Quote from: Saint-loup on July 10, 2019, 02:32:18 PM

Quote from: Betwrong on July 10, 2019, 01:13:28 PM

Quote from: Saint-loup on July 09, 2019, 01:03:23 PM

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Because since you have already won last time, you have statistically very little chance to consecutively win a second time at these odds...
and especially because it's India!

It's a known fact that previous outcomes do not affect future ones. Gamblers who don't understand this set a dicebot to "Increase by 10,000% on loss" playing with 98% win chance, and lose all their balance because of just two consecutive losses. I said "just" because there can be 3, and probably even more. I myself won 3 times in a row once, playing with 1% win chance. In fact I didn't win 3 times because I changed side, not believing that it can happen the third time, but it happened.

Statistics works good with millions and billions of events, but it fails frequently with not that many of them.

You won a second time, NZ beat India.
Congratulations. But it's sad for you, you only bet few satoshis each time.

Yes, I won that time too, despite your predictions

And, no, it's not sad for me, winning always feels good.

Yes you're a very strong bettor indeed, and I would be curious to know how many people in the world won these 2 bets in a row.

Quote from: Betwrong on July 13, 2019, 12:57:05 PM

Of course it's doable in terms of programming, but it's impossible to implement in a provably fair game, which is MULTIPLY BTC on freebitco.in. In short, each roll is independent, and they can't affect the outcome in any way.

I disagree with that, if the game is really random and "provably fair" then the Gaussian law tells us that the probability tends to be respected, so when you flip a coin there are more chances you get 10 times heads and 10 times tails than you get 19times heads and 1 time tails...