Super Forecast Strategy

Quote from: Kiwibird on July 12, 2019, 01:02:49 AM

Anyone here follow David H Hunter? https://twitter.com/DaveHcontrarian

Another cycles and macro strategist. He sees a melt-UP in the markets: S&P 3500, DOW 32000, Nasdaq 11000 by 4th Qtr - then a large fall.

Gold to also max out at $1550 and then fall below $1000 thereafter.

He sees the next cycle coming soon as highly inflationary with precious metals+miners zooming up (Gold $7000, Silver $200...), inc industrials and commodities. Inflation and interest rates to be double digits by mid 2020s.

Bond market to be avoided in that cycle

Where he differs from Armstrong is that he sees the stock markets as falling 80% and not recovering for a generation. Armstrong says the high has extended to 2032..

I find it fascinating to follow and compare them both.

And then we build, true to Martin Armstrong's principles, a Super Forecast Array as follows:

For each forecaster (I am sure we will find more forecasters to make this statistically significant) we add to a hit counter per time period column (doesn't matter whether it is a high or low, one high / low extreme hit is one count) and accumulate in the Composite Row the counts of different hit categories.

Then we know the future, definitely, because it is detached from human emotion. As Martin Armstrong likes to say:

The numbers are the numbers

Martin Armstrong is a charlatan, and he spent 11 years in jail for a reason.

Read this blog starting at page 273 to find out more about computerized fraud.

See armstrongecmscam.blogspot.com for a more compact view of major findings posted in this blog.