I made my analysis here: Assumed monthly statistics on registered accounts of bitcointalk.org (2009-2019). Below is abstract of my analysis, if you want to get full details, please visit my thread.
ABSTRACT
(1) Despite the rise of bitcoin to around $14,000, monthly registered accounts in last few months are too far away from all time high at 238433, in Dec. 2017.
(2) Minimum and maximum are 3 and 238433, in Nov. 2009, and December 2017, respectively.
(3) 50% of months (from Nov. 2009 to June 2019) have total monthly registered accounts in the range from 2611 to 24472 (the interquatile range).
(4) 50% of those months have total monthly registered accounts above or below 10691 (the median).
(5) The lowest and highest medians (of months for each year) found at 148 and 66895, in 2010 and 2018.
(6) From peaks on 20/12/2017, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts decreased 91.3%, and 81%, respectively, on 15/12/2018.
(7) Since 15/12/2018, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts increased 159%, and 7.8%, respectively, on 1/6/2019.
* Details of points (6), (7), please read the second post of this thread.
< ...>
Plot:
(1) Despite the rise of bitcoin to around $14,000, monthly registered accounts in last few months are too far away from all time high at 238433, in Dec. 2017.
(2) Minimum and maximum are 3 and 238433, in Nov. 2009, and December 2017, respectively.
(3) 50% of months (from Nov. 2009 to June 2019) have total monthly registered accounts in the range from 2611 to 24472 (the interquatile range).
(4) 50% of those months have total monthly registered accounts above or below 10691 (the median).
(5) The lowest and highest medians (of months for each year) found at 148 and 66895, in 2010 and 2018.
(6) From peaks on 20/12/2017, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts decreased 91.3%, and 81%, respectively, on 15/12/2018.
(7) Since 15/12/2018, BTC close price and monthly registered accounts increased 159%, and 7.8%, respectively, on 1/6/2019.
* Details of points (6), (7), please read the second post of this thread.
< ...>
Plot:
Plot
