Quote from: tonico on February 22, 2014, 11:51:48 AM

FWIW: This graph shows the Bitcoin price relative to the trend. It also contains quantiles of highs and lows since 2012. The price is between 38.09% and 213.45% of the trend price in 90% of all days since 2012.

More quantiles:

L:Q(0.1) = 0.4113907
L:Q(0.25) = 0.5348829

H:Q(0.75) = 1.198960
H:Q(0.9) = 1.709515

Median of the typical price T:Q(0.5) = 0.6922865

it looks nice, but I didn't udnerstood a damn thing. can you eleborate on it a bit more? how "trend" line is calculated (is it just average of all prices? but it's percentages?)

What abs. value when L=0,3809 will be crossed?
What is these gray areas?