Your logic is incorrect. However much you may believe it's possible to predict when an outcome (in an independent event) is the most likely, it isn't. Each round of the game, the probability of an event remains the same. The event could be for example that the game crashes at 2x. Probability of this event is 49.5% for each round. You cannot take previous events into calculation as each round is independent from the previous rounds. You can calculate that the probability of an event after 999 rounds could be 99.99% but if the next round is independent from the 999 other rounds, there's no certainty that the event happens in the 1000th round.