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Merits 2 from 1 user
Re: Merit spree is underway.
by
tranthidung
on 19/11/2019, 03:42:18 UTC
⭐ Merited by fillippone (2)
My head is going to explode, but I have to get through these... I thought an art contest would be nice and simple...
I wonder that with the latest massive explosion in the 10th anniversary art contest, how high the upcoming spike in weekly merits will reach with the coming weekly merit data dump from theymos?

Here is the list of total weekly merits by now, sorting descendinly.
Code:
. list merit week

     +-----------------+
     | merit      week |
     |-----------------|
  1. | 30960    2018w4 |
  2. | 19979    2018w5 |
  3. | 13313    2018w6 |
  4. | 11745    2018w7 |
  5. |  8833    2018w9 |
     |-----------------|
  6. |  8767    2018w8 |
  7. |  7837   2018w38 |
  8. |  7317   2018w11 |
  9. |  7261   2018w10 |
 10. |  6952   2018w12 |
     |-----------------|
 11. |  6744   2018w13 |
 12. |  6632    2019w2 |
 13. |  6423   2018w14 |
 14. |  6130   2019w13 |
 15. |  5644   2018w37 |
     |-----------------|
 16. |  5542   2019w42 |
 17. |  5494   2018w15 |
 18. |  5454   2019w19 |
 19. |  5354   2019w24 |
 20. |  5317    2019w3 |
     |-----------------|
 21. |  5271   2019w15 |
 22. |  5214   2019w20 |
 23. |  4975   2019w43 |
 24. |  4965   2018w18 |
 25. |  4929   2018w25 |
     |-----------------|
 26. |  4913   2019w10 |
 27. |  4829   2018w42 |
 28. |  4803    2019w1 |
 29. |  4766   2018w19 |
 30. |  4764   2019w18 |
     |-----------------|
 31. |  4742   2018w16 |
 32. |  4735   2019w45 |
 33. |  4730   2019w44 |
 34. |  4726   2019w25 |
 35. |  4688   2019w16 |
     |-----------------|
 36. |  4687   2019w23 |
 37. |  4667    2019w4 |
 38. |  4638    2019w9 |
 39. |  4612   2018w17 |
 40. |  4609   2019w12 |
     |-----------------|
 41. |  4580   2019w21 |
 42. |  4575   2018w47 |
 43. |  4565   2019w41 |
 44. |  4538   2018w23 |
 45. |  4526   2019w14 |
     |-----------------|
 46. |  4525   2018w45 |
 47. |  4521    2019w8 |
 48. |  4520   2019w38 |
 49. |  4491    2019w5 |
 50. |  4465   2018w26 |
     |-----------------|
 51. |  4448   2019w17 |
 52. |  4445   2019w22 |
 53. |  4395   2018w39 |
 54. |  4367   2019w26 |
 55. |  4357   2019w40 |
     |-----------------|
 56. |  4353   2018w20 |
 57. |  4332    2019w6 |
 58. |  4326   2019w11 |
 59. |  4318   2019w39 |
 60. |  4310   2018w40 |
     |-----------------|
 61. |  4278   2018w27 |
 62. |  4277   2019w29 |
 63. |  4247   2018w28 |
 64. |  4236   2019w33 |
 65. |  4225   2019w27 |
     |-----------------|
 66. |  4221    2019w7 |
 67. |  4194   2018w22 |
 68. |  4176   2019w30 |
 69. |  4167   2018w29 |
 70. |  4119   2019w28 |
     |-----------------|
 71. |  4043   2019w37 |
 72. |  4011   2018w32 |
 73. |  3953   2018w43 |
 74. |  3864   2018w21 |
 75. |  3863   2018w31 |
     |-----------------|
 76. |  3839   2018w24 |
 77. |  3816   2018w41 |
 78. |  3809   2019w36 |
 79. |  3805   2018w50 |
 80. |  3805   2018w34 |
     |-----------------|
 81. |  3769   2018w51 |
 82. |  3765   2018w48 |
 83. |  3747   2018w46 |
 84. |  3661   2018w30 |
 85. |  3631   2018w33 |
     |-----------------|
 86. |  3622   2019w34 |
 87. |  3590   2018w36 |
 88. |  3571   2018w49 |
 89. |  3549   2019w31 |
 90. |  3540   2019w35 |
     |-----------------|
 91. |  3347   2018w44 |
 92. |  3338   2018w52 |
 93. |  3207   2019w32 |
 94. |  3072   2018w35 |
     +-----------------+
Intra-week merits (from 24/1/2018 to 11/11/2019)
Last two days dropped due to incomplete weeks (2019w46)

< snip >

Time series plot
This is a difficult question but I am sure that this week we will see total merits distributed much higher than 4521 - that is the median of total intra-week merits (over 94 weeks since the birthday of merit system).

Personally I expect it will be somewhere around 8000 to 9000 (in the top ten of highest weeks).
Quote
- 50% of observed weeks (94 weeks) have total intra-week merits above 4521, whilst the rest 50% of them have total intra-week merits below 4521. 4521 is the median - p50.

Who knows at the end of today, theymos will write: "I am out of sMerits, please help me all merit sources!"  Cheesy