@everyone: due to low participation I've extended the registration from 06.12.2019 at 23.59.59 CET (Berlin Time) to 08.12.2019 at 23.59.59 CET (Berlin Time).

Quote from: DdmrDdmr on December 03, 2019, 05:06:19 PM

Since all the science has already been used, and assuming that the range in the current entries is reasonable, I went for an approach similar to how the Magic Number for Legendary Activity is generated (with a change from sha1 to SHA2_256, since sha1 is deprecated on my SQL version, and a few others due to datatype stuff):

Quote

select 610357 + convert(int,convert(varbinary,convert(varchar,'0x' + substring(convert(varchar, HASHBYTES('SHA2_256',@MySeed),1),3,2),1),1))*2

Result: 610637

Quote from: SFR10 on December 05, 2019, 09:52:58 AM

I developed my own formula ^{[inspired by "DdmrDdmr"]}:

521899 ^{[my UID]} /3636 ^{[my post count, including this post]} x 27 ^{[days left, I do know it's actually 26 days, 19 hours, 11 minutes]} + 606751 ^{[latest block]} = 610,626.48
- I do know that there are already a lot of educated guesses but I prefer to lock mine to 610,626

Nice ones. Wink

@SFR10 may I ask how long did it take until the calculation was at least somehow close to an realistic number? Cheesy

Quote from: RapTarX on December 04, 2019, 07:11:39 AM

Quote from: DdmrDdmr on December 03, 2019, 05:06:19 PM

Since all the science has already been used, and assuming that the range in the current entries is reasonable, I went for an approach similar to how the Magic Number for Legendary Activity is generated

Most creative way ever existed Cheesy

Well, the 2016 block adjustment will happen at 608832 blocks and it's very possible that we may have some quicker blocks than the actual average of 10 minutes. Your prediction is 78 blocks higher than the average one.
Good luck.

That's when people start gambling. Wink

It's all depending if BTC will dump again (and miners switch off for my expectation). Right now, BTC isn't moving much up / down, so miners are relatively stable. When BTC price is going sideways, I expect an increasing hashrate and as a result faster blocks and DdmrDdmr's "prediction" could come true.

Quote from: safari88 on December 05, 2019, 06:07:20 PM

i just take a random number so my guess will be 610548

Sorry, but all participants have to follow my rules and I can't accept your number. Undecided

Quote from: 1miau on November 30, 2019, 08:35:57 PM

Rules (Please read! If you are caught not reading the rules, I reserve the right to reject you):

...
To prevent cheating, your account needs to have at least 5 earned Merit, airdropped Merit doesnt count.
...

However, if you manage to get 2 more Merit until the registration for the giveaway ends (08.12.2019 at 23.59.59 CET (Berlin Time)), you'll be in! Wink

Quote from: GazetaBitcoin on December 05, 2019, 06:43:32 PM

Quote from: pooya87 on December 05, 2019, 04:15:50 PM

610,542 using the the good old 144 * days method. Tongue

What is the good 144 * days method?

I guess it's also my projection: 144 [blocks per day while 1 block = 10 min avg. [ => 6 blocks per hour x24 hours]] * days left until 2020.

New projection: 37,225 Minutes / 10 Blocks + 606,852 (current Block) = 610,574