Quote from: MTL4 on January 17, 2020, 03:24:32 PM

Quote from: bikefront on January 17, 2020, 03:21:33 PM

I disagree that it is exceptional- Martin Armstrong has so many ways of being right that it becomes useless. I call it the Gann fallacy: https://images.exchangerates.org.uk/uploads/012319gas.png So many ways to be right isn't a good thing. He also hyped some date last year and then when nothing happened, he talked about some insignificant corruption that happened in Malaysia, which has never been a big player on the world stage.

I didn't say MA is exceptional, I only said it would be exceptional if you had reliable timing for events/moves (either up or down).......we are not in disagreement at all. Yes I have seen him countless times come in after the fact and stating all sorts of reasons why he was still correct. His ECM and arrays stand alone so if they work then it should produce an event on that date, if not then obviously it doesn't work.

I have been active again on these boards in recent months in the run up 2020.05 = 18 January, 2020.

That day is tomorrow.

Countless examples exist where MA explains on his blog that the ECM has predicted things "to the day". See:
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/ecm-armstrongeconomics101/welcome-to-the-pi-target-day-2018-89/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/models/7219-2/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/future-forecasts/ecm/the-difference-between-2020-and-2032/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/ecm-armstrongeconomics101/the-ecm-turning-point-here-in-november/
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/war/did-the-ecm-pick-the-target-to-the-day-being-syria/

Also, unlike many on these boards, I have attended the WEC, Orlando, in 2018. And at MA's "infamous" hors d'oeuvres he actually said, directly to my face in conversation, that his:

ECM predicts things to the day, which goes as far back as the 1987 stock market crash.
(Not his exact words, but more or less verbatim)

So now we have a date and the ECM is - supposedly - able to predict things exactly to the day.

Let's see what happens by midnight tomorrow in Samoa, which will be the last country on Earth to hit midnight by time difference. MA has explained something should happen in the "periphery" of Europe:
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/europes-current-economy/europe-how-bad-can-this-get/

If nothing happens, much like 2015.75, which MA predicted would be an economic crash, or at least 4 years of economic decline, where in fact it was inflationary, then I think the jury is out on him.

It will confirm he is not a great economist and nor will history remember him as one. He is instead a great snake oil salesman, who is an expert in human psychology. He does not run an economic research firm frequented by government and institutional investors. He runs a publishing business aimed squarely at retail investors where (I theorise) his plea deal means he cannot engage with professional investors.

It also explains why his prophesied "day of Armageddon" occurs in 2032.

By that point, MA will be aged 82 and the probability of him still being alive to explain to his cultish following why 2015.75 occurred again (read: nothing) is slim. Even he himself writes about how much time he has left on this planet.

Thus he gets to avoid any awkward questions or criticism. Corpses don't answer to anyone.

All eyes are on tomorrow.