is it too cynical to short some stocks?
We're putting everything in canned food and shotguns.
If this things R0 is near 4 as some fear, and it kills at a rate of 14% this could be a very big deal.
... best numbers/info I can gather from various sources, with uncertainties:
- R0 between 1.4 - 3.8
- lethality between 3 - 14%
- asymptomatic transmission/incubation period 9 - 14 days (carriers could be out there spreading it for 5 days 2 weeks after catching it!!, fux)
- transmission mechanisms include bodily fluids (blood, saliva, etc) or aerosols (coughing, sneezing, farting, ejaculation, etc) contracted through respiratory or eyes, etc ... no reports of airborne yet.
- terminal phase is organs overwhelmed, pneumonia (drowning in lung fluids)
I could opine on the last item...it's probably because of high immunogenicity of this.
We, humans, never seen these antigens, so response is so intense that people release lots of cytokines (cytokine "storm'), which then cause what you described.
They first said snakes were the origin, but now someone is saying that it looks more like it came from a bat.