Quote from: Ibian on February 15, 2020, 11:13:24 AM

r0 is apparently around 5-6 with no special precautions. Even in china with everything they have done, locking people in their homes and gassing and quarantining, it´s still at like 2-3.

This thing can't be stopped. Unless it burns itself out faster than it can spread, it's going global for sure.

Oh and in regards to lethality: Calculate deaths/(deaths+cured).

Don't know why people keep using total number of infected. It makes no sense. Some of those people are going to die.

What i always said... Roll Eyes

Reading numbers is easy, but the timing dimension makes it difficult for us humans.
Even the flu numbers are yearly averages. Humans are still prone to one-dimensional thinking at the current level of evolution.

Quote from: bitserve on February 15, 2020, 12:17:29 PM

LOL

But yeah, what doesn't kill you makes you stronger!!

NOT the measles. This virus actually resets your immunity, this is also why it's best to get infected as a child. Adults with measles do not do so well, lethality because of secondary complications is higher.

Quote from: Arriemoller on February 15, 2020, 02:07:05 PM

Important to note that the woman who died in France was a Chinese tourist from the Hubei province.
I still haven't heard of any non Asians dying.
I would very much like to see a comparison between Asians and non Asians in all respects.

Edit: it was an elderly woman who left China on 15 January, on the 25th she was admitted for lung infection and isolated, her condition worsened fast and now she has died.

Seems that the chinese/asian folks are more vulnerable to this nCoV-2019. I have read some notes about a certain receptor that people with more "western" genes don't have or not that many. May be or be related to the ACE-2, which was mentioned one or two posts after yours.

If this turns out to be true, conspiracy theorists will say that bilderberger or trump sent that virus to hubei. Roll Eyes