An Oxford study suggests half the UK population already has or had the corona virus: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/03/oxford-study-coronavirus-may-have-infected-half-of-u-k.htmlWhile that may sound bad initially, what it really means is this:
If this modeling is confirmed in follow-up studies, that would mean that fewer than .01 percent of those infected require hospital treatment, with a majority showing very minor symptoms, or none at all.
So it may turn out the corona virus is insanely infectious but also has an extremely low mortality rate, and even a low rate of expressing symptoms at all. If this model is correct, we won't flatten the curve by stopping the spread through containment.
The curve will flatten because the virus will run out people to infect.If other studies confirm these findings in the coming weeks, it will be a real game changer.
I would love that to be true but it seems too good to be true, just as the millions of dead figures are too far the other way. I have zero doubt that the actual mortality rate is vastly lower than will ever be known or reported.
Maybe Donny is making the right call in this case. He does have a weird feral instinct. But the sad thing is we'll never who had the right or wrong strategies until the post mortems.