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The third thing I believe can make the price to increase are fomo people. They will see everyone investing and they will also invest for not to miss the great benefit.

We all know that big pumps don't happen instantly after halving. There is a long process until the market rises. Based on the previous two periods, the highest price is always formed a few months after halving. Market interest will increase based on this history because they don't want to miss the moment. While new entrants who are attracted by increased hysteria will go along, this will cause the market to become more attractive.

FOMO explain it alls and since the hype with bitcoin is good, we can expect a pump before and after the halving but for me that’s not the real bull run because it will slowly fade away and back to a dump price. I also expect to see the real up trend a year after the halving, that’s enough time for halving to take effect and we will see if the trend already change this time and a new history will begin.

It's better if you have graphic representation or even chart to help your prediction reliable. However, I am agree with your opinion. This maybe a bull trap. It can be a bullish but it never goes more than its ATH. Let us all wait for the bitcoin halving and just ride the train so that, even it does not reach its ath. You will take a profit. Best of luck!

We have so many events like this where we think that bull run started but suddenly dump so maybe best to watch the market since for now eventhough we are close to halving happened still we cannot assure if bitcoin reach on its ATH since I'm bit worried that people are holding up there investments since the situation around the still in questionable.

For all of the halvings i did experience i never tend to believe that there would be a bull run on short term aspects.People shouldnt really expect
that much because price can either dump or pump on specific time.Lets talk about long term on here but i cant really blame up people who
do have these kind of sentiments or expectations since FOMO feels is present when this event do happen.As an investor it will just
vary if you do tend to buy in or would sell out on news.

Crypto users should have conservative expectations to avoid disappointment once this event is over. Reaching another ATH this time is not likely to happen because of so many factors involved like the pandemic situation experienced around the globe. A lot of people are worried about where to get funds for their basic needs so their priority shifted to this rather than look into crypto.