Quote from: suchmoon on May 27, 2020, 01:08:28 AM

Can we please try to stay on topic without moderator's involvement. There are many other threads to discuss the grave oppression of masks and six feet of air.

This thread is for ridiculing Biden, Trump, and idiots betting on them.

Quote from: suchmoon on December 10, 2019, 01:24:08 AM

Local rules: this particular bet, as well as betting on 2020 presidential election in general, and discussing the election itself is on topic. Everything else, including the usual P&S bullshit (you know who you are) is not.

Edited four spellign.

I'm totally one of the people that have broke this as well, so for that I'll be apologizing. Kinda was just responding.. lol.

Quote from: TwitchySeal on May 27, 2020, 02:00:31 AM

Quote from: suchmoon on May 27, 2020, 01:08:28 AM

Can we please try to stay on topic without moderator's involvement. There are many other threads to discuss the grave oppression of masks and six feet of air.

This thread is for ridiculing Biden, Trump, and idiots betting on them.

Quote from: suchmoon on December 10, 2019, 01:24:08 AM

Local rules: this particular bet, as well as betting on 2020 presidential election in general, and discussing the election itself is on topic. Everything else, including the usual P&S bullshit (you know who you are) is not.

Sorry, that was my fault.

Check out front page of predictit:

https://www.predictit.org/

Notice anything off?

Not sure what you're getting at here, but PredictIt is still going to be one of the worst sources for information. Biden is possible the worst candidate to face Trump come November. They literally had a chance here to pick someone that would energize their voters to not only get Trump out of office, but to bring forward Democrat ideals to the forefront of politics (Universal Healthcare, Community College, etc) -- but they picked Biden who is ugh-- Biden.

Would much rather go with 538 here - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/ - I know this is just aggregate general election polling, but still much better then PredictIt gambling degenerates trying to pick something.

This is also pretty interesting to see as well - 538 aggregate of polls on the race for Congress - Dems have a pretty large lead on that at the moment - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-generic-ballot-polls/?ex_cid=irpromo

Quote from: TwitchySeal on May 27, 2020, 05:15:06 AM

Quote from: suchmoon on May 27, 2020, 02:16:12 AM

Quote from: TwitchySeal on May 27, 2020, 02:00:31 AM

Notice anything off?

Trump looks happier than Biden? There is still some red left on the map? Alaska and Hawaii have been sold to Mexico?

I give up. What is it?

The market for next president has Trump favored 50 - 47.

But you can also bet on who will win each state, those 50 markets have Biden winning 290-248 electoral votes.

290 -248 is pretty strong. In that scenario Biden could afford to WI or MI and still win. If he were to lose WI and AZ, it would be 269 - 269...not sure how that would play out.

Edit: I now see what you're getting at. Still a bad market.

BUT 269-269 would leave the house to decide, but in an altered state -- as each state delegation would get one vote which would most likely leave the Presidency in the hands of Trump. See below on how that split works out:

Quote from: https://www.270towin.com/content/electoral-college-ties/

Who would win the presidency in a tie?

Each state's Congressional House delegation would have one vote, regardless of how many Districts are in the state. The GOP held a decided 32-17 edge in control of these state congressional delegations prior to the 2018 midterms. With the start of the 116th congress, that partisan split is much more even. Republicans now control 26 states, Democrats 22. Michigan and Pennsylvania are tied.

*This was a historically high number, most elections have none.

^ Congress can modify this date.

Senate would pick the VP -- giving it to Pence.