Quote from: TechieCFO on March 02, 2014, 11:19:53 PM

Quote from: tvbcof on March 01, 2014, 07:27:33 AM

Please DO try to speculate. There is nothing wrong with a hypothesis that turns out to be incorrect.

The scientific method involves brainstrorming for a wide variety of hypotheses, then knocking out the hypotheses which do not stand to the evidence as it comes in.

Modern science has come very far very fast on the strength of this method of exploration. Religion and politics have stagnated and look about the same as they have for the past several thousand years because they mainly reject these methods.

Most importantly, do your own thinking. Most posters here just state some (usually absurd) assertion as though it were fact. That's because there are a lot of imbeciles and youngsters around these parts. In Bitcoinland doing your own analysis can make you rich...or at least help you to not get ripped off.

Over 99.99% of the people on this blog do not have access to the facts regarding Mt. Gox. Including you. So all that speculation is based on hot air and is worthless. Even if someone states exactly what happened, no-one here can vouch it (its just a lucky hit) In science, everyone shares the so called facts and results, so speculation about what they mean works because some people already have the experience to know.

Am I Black or White? You have the same chance to determine this as a monkey. Same with people who don't have facts about Mt. Gox.

Bull. There are a great number of facts. For instance, it's a stone cold fact that Mark claimed he could not talk about what was happening for about a year now. This does not prove that he was under a gag order, but it, like thousands of other known facts, can be applied toward strengthening or weakening a number of varying hypothesis...or can by people who are not lazy and/or stupid.

Another thing that is a fact is that Mt. Gox closed their web site and people cannot log in. Certain of the hypothesis I've been entertaining predicted this. I got all my records from them a long time ago for this reason.

You are, I believe, confused between a 'fact' and a 'synthesis'. That is, a pre-canned complete series of answers about what is going on. Lacking the latter should NOT constitute some sort of a barrier which precludes other deductive analysis.

Again, someone who lacks the analytical abilities or comfort level in doing this kind of work may be better off just sitting at idle to see what comes up. That's fine, but it doesn't mean that everyone should. In this case, those who can do analysis might very well walk away with the money from those who cannot in their pockets. That's how the world works unfortunately. Case in point is that I took my BTC out of Mt. Gox back in August 2013. I took a calculated risk on a wire as I closed down with them, but only what I could easily afford to lose, and also because it provided a toe-hold for future potential projects.