Quote from: Gyfts on July 20, 2020, 10:14:05 PM

Quote from: JollyGood on July 20, 2020, 06:16:37 PM

How can you be so sure he will not win?

Quote from: cryping on July 18, 2020, 08:35:28 PM

Trump will certainly not win in 2020

We're over a 100 days out so obviously things can change but the polling numbers are absolutely brutal: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_biden-6247.html

Trump's not going to win the popular vote so national polling isn't all too accurate of the electoral college which is all that matters, but the swing state polls look pretty ugly too.

Lots of public health experts have went on the record saying this Fall and Winter are going to be brutal from the perspective of public health and safety. Coronavirus is not going to go away by November and the CBO predicts a 10 percent unemployment rate by the end of the year. Can't campaign on eliminating coronavirus, and can't campaign on the economy.

Yup. No shot that Trump wins the popular vote at this rate.

I GUESS the swing states are still within reach, but it's going to take a lot of good news in the following months -- PLUS the 'silent majority' that Trump keeps talking about has to come out and vote. They may, and they may truly be a force, but they didn't come out in 2018 when Republicans lost the house.

We'll see if they come out this time around.