Post
Topic
Board Bitcoin Discussion
Re: This message was too old and has been purged
by
roslinpl
on 04/03/2014, 21:35:25 UTC
Simple crude calculation:

Timeline:
(timeline destroyed by quote font)

Entropy is a bitch.
The crudeness in this is really the timeline.  While we have a pretty good idea of roughly (in billions of years or so) when the big bang was, the sun accumulated enough mass, when it'll burn out and eventually the heat death of the universe, these are relatively fixed points in time and they aren't going to move around on that timeline very much.

For finding a key collision,

it could just as easily be:                 , you finding k
big bang       sun was born      now. /         sun dies       existing stars burn out                       all matter evaporated
     |-------------|---------------||-------------|---------------|-----------------------------------------|
     0                 9.2e9            13.8e9             19e9                 1e15                                               1e34

( not to scale Wink )
It's just that the odds of that being the case are very, very, very (rinse and repeat a lot) low.  Of course the odds are exactly the same for your point along the timeline, or for any other point along the timeline within the bounds as proposed, to the point where statistically speaking it doesn't make sense to even try.


That is very nice Smiley and perhaps this scale is not bad at all. Smiley I would just change 1 thing



                                                                                                                     ,you finding k
big bang       sun was born      now.         sun dies       existing stars burn out      /                all matter evaporated
     |-------------|---------------|-------------|---------------|----------------------------|-------------|
     0                 9.2e9            13.8e9             19e9                 1e15                                                  1e34