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Project Development
Re: [WHITEPAPER] Decentralized Bitcoin Prediction Markets
by
AsymmetricInformation
on
05/03/2014, 17:06:30 UTC
Quote from: gwern on March 05, 2014, 01:35:36 AM
It might be better to use more standard terms... You can see a prediction market as a ensemble method
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ensemble_learning
which weights experts (users) by their cumulative score (money) on a series of predictions using a proper scoring rule of some sort. This interpretation has been explored by a number of papers:
http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22prediction%20market%22%20ensemble
That's a good idea. I'm intrigued by your link because although the content is very familiar to me I've never heard that term before. But clearly from your scholar search the fault is mine.