Quote from: Timelord2067 on Today at 01:02:40 PM

Quote from: palle11 on Today at 11:02:44 AM

This reverse betting is not the best way to vote. It doesn't give the accurate choice to win in your heart. You do reverse betting hoping that things turn to your favour because inside of your heart, you hope for someone else, why not throw your dice on the person you want really and allow fate to happen to your good Grin

The odds for one candidate over the other are one indication of who might win an election, but the amount of money actually wagered is a better indication. If one or two put hefty lump sums on a candidate they still only count as one or two "votes" but hundreds or even thousands of wagers give a truer indication of who is likely to win.

That is a quite interesting Point of View Timelord2067
I bet we could create prediction models or use existing solutions like Augur or Futuur to help on polls and % probability of each candidate winning.

I can explain better:
besides using only public opinion on polls, where people can lie or change their minds, we could use the money at stake to balance the % results, because even if someone is not sure about voting for a candidate their willingness to bet on them could be a greater indicative for outcomes of the election.

would really like to see more developed models on that.