Hmmm. What were the odds called by the mass-media (and the betting markets) that Hillary would win, in late October of 2016?
For someone that is usually so pragmatic I'm surprised to see you going down the poll-denier path.
The final 2016 betting markets and most models had Trump as a 3-1 underdog to win the whole thing.
The final national polls on average had Clinton with a 3.2 point lead and she ended up receiving 2.1% more votes.