This is all your answers right here- by now you must know it is not possible to trace a BITCOIN transaction.
The guy that you sent you BITCOIN to doesnt have to send them back and sadly you might be out of some BITCOIN here.
Let this be a lesson for you.
okay, so I guess I just need to learn from my mistakes and move on.
Yes, In the crypto world this is quite impossible to trace any transaction. Because of decentralization, this is not possible to trace. If you mistakenly send any amount in any wallet. You can't get it back. If the guy damn honest and if he send it back then you get it. Otherwise your money gonna lost. Finally we can say that if you made any mistake then learn a lesson from it.
You're making it sound as if no one has ever gone to prison because they were sloppy or held similar beliefs to you when transacting, and got caught because it was eventually possible to connect a transaction to their real-life identity in the course of an investigation of a crime.