Quote from: Mauser on June 04, 2021, 11:09:35 AM

Quote from: Betwrong on June 04, 2021, 09:43:13 AM

Yeah, just one example. You can't call a big raise instantly, when you have nothing. You should consider bluffing or folding, and it takes time.

Calling with nothing is very risky, we could trust in an Ace high, or a King High but the chances are small for us to win actually. When confronted with a big raise I probably would just fold.

That's what I'm doing most of the time too, but it's not easy to see your stack melting, and your opponents, one by one, outrunning you on the leader-board. You should have the strength to endure it all.

Quote from: Mauser on June 04, 2021, 11:09:35 AM

It is not about being unpredictable when we go All in, but the chances are that the opponent has the nuts. Better to fold and win the money back later. If the other guy would check than it is a better position to go All in.

There's always a possibility that they are bluffcatching you, though.

Quote from: Lucasgabd on June 08, 2021, 03:34:17 PM

~
what are your takes on subjective probabilities?
bullshit or possible to calibrate?

It's not bullshit, that's for sure. Even if you are starting playing with complete strangers, after 20-30 minutes in the tournament you more or less know their style. Then you can start utilizing your knowledge, and you'll fail only when they'll be acting not in their style, in other words, unpredictably. Now, they can't act unpredictably all the time, because it'll turn their game into an almost purely luck-based one, so, yeah, imo, subjective probabilities are useful.