Quote from: El duderino_ on Today at 09:13:40 PM

Merited a long post…. For effort and writing work….

Everyone earns something while working Tongue

Sometimes a bit more work than initially intended...

It's not like a bot is coming up with all of the ideas contained therein.

Quote from: serveria.com on Today at 09:22:21 PM

Moar pain!!! I'm not selling, we're not selling brethren! Bring it on bears, is it all you've got? Cool

Gosh..

Not selling should have been a given.. .. kind of like an unspoken

Who would-a-thunk?

Quote from: OutOfMemory on Today at 09:24:55 PM

Quote from: cAPSLOCK on Today at 08:18:53 PM

Quote from: Arriemoller on Today at 07:45:26 PM

Ok, I'm posting a cat picture.

Or not.

So no it works again, This is a weird day for me.

Arrie! It has a red dildo in the foreground, damnit!

Looks more like a red buttplug (on a handy stick for sitting on) Cheesy

You had to go there?

I see a pussy pic and you see..

oh well...

Quote from: OutOfMemory on Today at 09:24:55 PM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on Today at 08:44:29 PM

Quote from: OutOfMemory on Today at 07:46:13 PM

Quote from: AlcoHoDL on Today at 07:42:01 PM

Such down,
So dip,
Pray to Karhu and weep.

I'm praying that my lowest buy order at $44.500 gets filled today.
All the higher ones were already hit, catching the knife Grin

I know it is tempting.. but you should try to stop yourself from those kinds of wishenings.

For me, it is pretty rare to get to the last buy order, so the closer that we get to my last 5-10 buy orders I start to get a little bit nervous... Of course, if we had gone up for 4x or 6.5x, then maybe it is not such a BIG deal to have several corrections along the way and to attempt to balance out some of the buy orders that had been stacking up (seemingly too much)... maybe I just have an ongoing preference for UP.. even though currently I have buy orders down to $20k, but I don't even really want anymore buy orders in the $40ks to get filled.. Of course, I am willing to tolerate such ongoing buying of BTC.. but still would prefer NOT to buy any more BTC in the $40ks.. make it stop, make it stop.. ..

Is it just me?

I gave it up already. It stops when it stops.
Wishful thinking didn't work for me, so probably the $44.5k will never get hit Tongue

I hope not... .. I also hope that this is the last chance, ever, for anyone to be buying BTC below $50k.. but seems like a pretty BIG ask at this point in time.

Quote from: Biodom on Today at 09:42:25 PM

Well, it does not look like anything good is happening.
Contrast this with early in the year when almost everybody were salivating at the prospect of selling a bunch at 100K-300K...since EVERYBODY knew that that's were we would be in December.
It's time to start beliving that bitcoin price is simply chaotic now with an upward trend driven by diminishing pulses from the halvings.
In retrospect, maybe about 70K top (intermediate or not) was inevitable, considering the bulk of the data or is it?
Consider this series: 32, 1160, 19835, "68991".
First three tops already happened.
From the first to the second it was X36.25X, from second to third X17.09, so the third interval (8.06X, if you project diminishing returns) should have been to $159,811, NOT 68991.
What's wrong? I guess nothing and it simply does not fit into linear logic any longer.
What about lows?

2, 175, 3100:

87.5X, then 17.71X, then it should be 3.58X, which is only $11,110, which is crazily low number (below 200wk MA)-quite unlikely.

Let's look again at that 159,811 number and assume that's where it should have peaked if not for a bunch of a-holes pushing it down.
A 'normal" 80% drawdown from there is $31,962, which is at or even slightly higher than where we were in June.

Therefore, I have a new thesis: this cycle was scrambled by the covid and multiple hasty gov "responses", so it did not pan out as predicted.
Instead, we truly peaked in Feb at 65K, got cut short by China, then we cycle-corrected to 29K.
Since June, we are in the new cycle, which started unusually robustly (since there was some unused buying energy that got curtailed by China), in a way, similar to a "premature" pop to 14K in the summer of 2019.
Now, we are getting to the plateau stage, but, hopefully, not lower than ~30K.

I continue to hold, but expect a bottoming pattern for a while since we are too ealy in a new cycle to experience rapid growth.

TL;DR we are already in the new cycle and expecting 160K soonish is in vain. BTW, congrats to @LFC on a cycle top sell (of at least a portion).

You speak a lot of nonsense.

Are you trying to compete with naim027 to see who can say the dumbest (or at least the most incomprehensible) things?

At least, while you are rolling your own seemingly out of your ass cycles (price prediction models) and your own formulas for determining random tops/bottoms, you concede that the top might not be in.. That's one positive.