i expect my post to be deleted. but before clicking the button treat this as some positive criticism

you seem to fear the bears and dips.. why?
bears and dips are not a time to get scared and drop your % accumulation. not a time to sell. its actually the perfect time to buy in more at a discount.

dont fear the bear/dips. enjoy and get excited by them. its discount.

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as for your prediction models. i do hope you know that the stock-to-flow graph everyone is sharing regarding bitcoins price history is actually misleading. this is because the daily price of flow has a pattern because the yearly moving average of stock has a yearly average price variable included.

so its not actually comparing just coins in circulation to daily price. its actually just daily price compared to yearly moving averaged price at the point of the same day. where stock is added to make it not look exactly like 2 parallel lines

everyone knows that bitcoins pure 'stock" (circulation) is this step down curve


so when the year average price is added as a variable. ofcourse it will start bending the stock curve to resemble the price wiggle

price vs price do then look similar, so dont be fooled by bitcoins version of S2F, because its not accurate and not a true simple stock vs flow
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