i expect my post to be deleted. but before clicking the button treat this as some positive criticism
you seem to fear the bears and dips.. why?
bears and dips are not a time to get scared and drop your % accumulation. not a time to sell. its actually the perfect time to buy in more at a discount.
dont fear the bear/dips. enjoy and get excited by them. its discount.
..
as for your prediction models. i do hope you know that the stock-to-flow graph everyone is sharing regarding bitcoins price history is actually misleading. this is because the daily price of bitcoin has a pattern with S2F because bitcoins S2F has a yearly average price variable included to bend bitcoins S2F curve into resembling the separate market price chart.
so its not actually comparing just coins in circulation, deviated by production rate(true s2f) to then compare to market daily price. its actually just daily price compared to yearly moving averaged price at the point of the same day. where stock is added to make it not look exactly like 2 mirrored lines
everyone knows that bitcoins pure 'stock to flow" (circulation) is this step down curve
so when the year average price is added as a variable. ofcourse it will start bending the stock curve to resemble the price wiggle
its not predicting future prices. its using the historic price to resemble the historic price
you seem to fear the bears and dips.. why?
bears and dips are not a time to get scared and drop your % accumulation. not a time to sell. its actually the perfect time to buy in more at a discount.
dont fear the bear/dips. enjoy and get excited by them. its discount.
..
as for your prediction models. i do hope you know that the stock-to-flow graph everyone is sharing regarding bitcoins price history is actually misleading. this is because the daily price of bitcoin has a pattern with S2F because bitcoins S2F has a yearly average price variable included to bend bitcoins S2F curve into resembling the separate market price chart.
so its not actually comparing just coins in circulation, deviated by production rate(true s2f) to then compare to market daily price. its actually just daily price compared to yearly moving averaged price at the point of the same day. where stock is added to make it not look exactly like 2 mirrored lines
everyone knows that bitcoins pure 'stock to flow" (circulation) is this step down curve
so when the year average price is added as a variable. ofcourse it will start bending the stock curve to resemble the price wiggle
its not predicting future prices. its using the historic price to resemble the historic price
I cannot respond in detail right now.. yet on the face of your post and with a kind of quick overview, I do not see any reason to delete your post, and for sure there might be some prematurity in aspects of your post in terms of my not having had fleshed out the outline portion of each of my above initial 5 posts.... .. and so maybe when I get an opportunity to read your response more thoroughly (I expect to do that before continuing with my posts), then I might reconsider if there is some disingenuineness contained therein.. but overall with your staring line about my supposedly being afraid of down or being afraid of bears.. that is untrue on its face.. and I will want to respond to that... and it just seems strange to me that you would even think that I am afraid or that I am trying to spin UP or whatever.. but maybe your conclusion is based on my not yet having had finished the whole of a few of my posts (including a few aspects of the price prediction one).