[...]
For me [PlanB] has def. gone too far with his (childish) goalpost moving. I cannot take him serious anymore.
Sadly, I also feel the same. It would have been so much better to be a man about it and admit defeat. But instead of facing the facts, he seems to be moving the goalposts on every failure.
For me, the best "model" is the White Paper itself. Halving = supply reduction by half / 4-year period. That's enough for me to know for a fact that it's going up forever, Laura. That's a qualitative assessment that's good enough for me. For quantitative, Crystal Ball
TM predictive models, I'll leave that to the resident magicians, purely for amusement purposes, with the occasional collateral damage (read: mindrust events caused by masterluc).