It's sad really. Because he came up with a glorious model. And even from the beginning of it all he said all models break.
All he needs to do is shrug is shoulders and say "Well damn, the model has broken earlier than I thought it would." And THEN get about the business of trying to explain why, or adjusting the model somehow to possibly be accurate into the future. Not move the goalposts, but openly try to improve the model... And the whole world would listen to him because he earned some serious credibility with S2F.
He could even do less than that, like say "Yeah my 100k by December" stand was a foolish and capricious move that actually ignores the way this model works (because it is and was)" And then point out that the model has still not been invalidated entirely.
Basically what he is doing now, but with humility rather than the whole "Well here is what I really always meant" line which 7 year olds can see.
It reminds me of the constant gaslighting, redefinition, and post moving that corrupt politicians and narcissists do.
Or people like CSW or Roger Ver: "BCash will take over and put an end to Bitcoin!" BSV will take over and put an end to Bitcoin!" "Follow me, listen to me! I know something that you don't!"
I mean srsly, aren't we over listening to, or even following, these types by now?
Do people really need to follow false prophets in order to invest in and be bullish on something? To be lead by the collar? Bitcoin is self-explanatory, it needs no leaders or prophets. Either you get it, or you don't.
I feel like if Michael Saylor woke up tomorrow and said he no longer believed in Bitcoin and said he was going to sell it all, 99% of his acolyte followers would all sheepishly sell their bitcoin as well. This is the state of the world we live in now.
And if you get bitcoin, and by that I don't mean totally, but the overall concept, and its implications, then you should see that there is no reason its price should follow a model to a T. There are plenty of actors investing and trading all the time, how could the end result be "perfect" ? It will go up long term, that's the only certainty, and it's enough.