Quote from: Richy_T on January 01, 2022, 08:34:28 PM

Quote from: fillippone on December 30, 2021, 02:15:26 PM

I used to think kitesurfing is the most entertaining thing you can do with clothes on, but I was wrong, apparently.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jknFd8oidZY

Nice one Richy_T.

Quote from: Biodom on January 01, 2022, 09:31:57 PM

@jjg...i hope EVERYONE has seen now that you weaseled out from a straight bet with a VERY favorable odds. To me, it says a LOT.

I hardly know what you are talking about. We were in the preliminary stages in talking about various terms of a possible bet, and surely it appears that we did not get close to agreeing, and I stated my reasons why I was not willing to enter into a bet, including that the terms did not even get close to addressing your ongoing outrageous claims.. in which maybe you are either backing down from your outrageous claims or just wanting to divert to some topic in which you want me to get behind some other bet that I am not interested in making for the reasons stated.. and surely those are not favorable terms for the reasons that I had already stated in my previous post, as well.

Quote from: Biodom on January 01, 2022, 09:31:57 PM

Here is something for you to put your hat on now:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0H5a-l9-hqU

I did not watch that attached video because I have no understanding regarding how it is supposed to relate to matters that we had been discussing.

Quote from: Biodom on January 01, 2022, 09:31:57 PM

to me, this sounds ridiculous, but the 'weasel party' would like it.

did not watch it, so I am not sure about what point that you would want to make with such video.

Quote from: Biodom on January 01, 2022, 09:31:57 PM

a small question: if it goes to 2023, then why it is even a cycle?

It seems to me that I was suggesting most likely that a blow off top, if it were to occur beyond our already $69k ATH would happen within the next 1-9 months, and in my December 16 outlining of timeline, I had given only 4.5% odds of it happening after 3rd quarter of 2022. Of course, if such a top were to drag out either beyond the third quarter of 2022 or even into 2023, there may well be a question whether the cycle or four-year fractal would be an applicable framework... so we would have to see how it plays out and when it peaks before getting ahead of ourself, and of course, I am not even sure what kinds of ways that you are even describing the matter because you expressed high expectations that we do not even get back to $69k for another year... so who the hell even knows what random ass framework that you are applying right now, except for your assertion that the four year cycle ended in April and the November peak was some kind of an aberration.

Anyhow, it seems that I likely already explained enough about my various assignments of probabilities quite a bit more thoroughly than you have and also willing to stand behind my assertions and describe various parameters that I might be willing to consider bets, contrary to uie-pooie not even want to stick to fleshing out any of your earlier somewhat conflicting assertions of either the BTC staying within $30k to $65k for a year, but not assigning any probabilities to that while at the same time asserting that you believe that there would ONLY be a 1% chance for BTC's prices to cross above $200k in the next year. We may well be getting a bit repetitive on some of these points and what seems to be some of any of your attempts to flesh out some of your own points or to figure out if there might be some kind of bet terms that might be agreeable.... even while I clearly stated various ways that the terms that you outlined are unacceptable to me, at this time.