Just out of interest anyone ever hit 10000 on Freeplay?
I guess it's 1 time over 10000 times you roll.
Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
I calculated the probability in another thread (https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=319540.msg5483640#msg5483640), and it's ~ 1/20000 with current algorithm, so you need at least 20000-40000 rolls. Here's the formula for probability of rolling "10000" at least once in Wolfram Alpha (for 40000 rolls, feel free to insert other value):Without interruptions of sleep and such, without counting the luck you have, it would take 416 days straight to win the 10K prize.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=1-%281-0.00005000014789402484893798828125%29^40000
P.S. You will get only 63% after 20000 rolls.
63% after 20,000rolls means the probability is greater than 1/20,000
If you look at the statistic page you may be able to guess the probability
***People that have a lot of affiliates don't even get one of their affiliate to roll 10,000 :
Amount won-number of affiliates
6-0.25252830 BTC 7748
7-0.20269780 BTC 1059
8-0.20220446 BTC 1182
9-0.19664634 BTC 575
***2 000 000 games played and only 1.8BTC awarded everyday, does a multiply btc game counts as a game?
***WON BY USERS
153.23314610 BTC
GAMES PLAYED
280,577,455
10-0.19556508 BTC 2059
The website is great anyway but it would be nice to know the odds of rolling 10,000
Yes, each Multiply BTC roll counts as a game. Luror is right about the odds of rolling a 10,000
Oh ok, I guess there is not so many rolls played everyday
I thought you couldn't make a profit if you pay 0.35 every 20,000 in average but I should do my calculations again and I will find that you make a 2% profit or something
Congrats on the website, are you developing other websites or does this one take all your free time?
Haha yeah, I do make a profit but it is quite small. This takes up all my free time, I had a couple of other ideas but they have been moved to the back burner for now. I try to keep adding features to the site, have a big update coming in a couple of weeks.