Quote from: ImThour on Today at 03:14:46 AM

Quote from: JayJuanGee on Today at 03:04:56 AM

Your failure/refusal to sufficently/adequately prepare for UP does not count if you are measuring your short-term value in the fact that you are still holding onto your dollars.. right? therefore, you did not lose any dollars, right? even though the BTC price went up $12k.. or 30%-ish.

Nope, didn't lost, only made some bucks, thanks to my analysis. Wink

No problem... You can deny whatever you like. I was just speculating about how a reasonable person might hedge in the event s/he actually believed some of the previous nonsense that you posted (to the extent to which s/he could make heads or tails out of it).. and especially the proclamations that you already made.

Would it NOT make sense if a person were to be expecting the BTC price to go down into the lower $20ks or spike below $20k or even to go into the $10k territory, s/he would prepare for such a scenario by at least holding some fiat on the side in order to prepare to buy if/when the BTC price goes to those lower levels? At minimum? Surely more aggressive actions could be taken too.. but there is no free lunch in regards to preparing for down is likely going to have some opportunity costs in preparing for down.. but instead you want to say that you make money on your trades even when you are seeming to be quite wrong... the opposite of right.

Quote from: ImThour on Today at 03:14:46 AM

EDIT:
Also, my Moving Average theory is still going fine. A Bearish Candlestick on 200 MA.
This proves it was a retest and the downfall to 50 MA is about to begin.

I cannot tell what you are talking about when you refer to MA.. are you talking about the weekly MA? The 200 Weekly Moving average is currently at about $20,700, so if you are suggesting that the BTC price is either approaching the 200 WMA or had already tested it, then you seem to be quite far off of that. Sure, on January 24, the BTC price did spike down to $32,951, but on January 24, the 200 Week MA was at $19,253...

You can see the current location of the 200 week MA and the specific BTC price historical location of the 200-week MA at this website.

https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/200-week-moving-average-heatmap/

Quote from: ImThour on Today at 03:14:46 AM

@JJG - This is for you mate.

What are you trying to show me?

By the way, I have nothing against your various charts or if you are trying to make various predictions, but you seem to be having difficulties with putting these matters in any kind of meaningful context.. and even in your later post when you say that historically there has been this much passage of time between the lows and the highs and the halvening happened between, you do not seem to be saying very much.. or at least nothing that has some kind of significant and/or predictive resonance.... and even your current assumption that November 9, 2021 at $69k might have been the top of this bull run seems to presume what you want it to presume rather than really helping to inform us where we might be in terms of price, how we got here and where we might be going.

Are you suggesting that we are not going to have a breach above $69k during this calendar year? Otherwise when are you suggesting such breach above $69k to be likely? 2023? or some other date? Seems to me that the odds are still pretty decent that we will get a breach of $69k this calendar year... I am not sure the odds, but I would not even be convinced that it would be fair to suggest that it might not be an extension of our earlier cycle that so many folks are wanting to suggested to have had ended in 2021 - yet I have a lot of doubts that king daddy, aka honey badger, aka lillie fiend, is going to give too many shits about allowing dates on a calendar to stop it from going UPpity if that is where the point of most pain might seem to be... especially for the status quo richie who are likely continuing to try to prevent the largest wealth transfer in history from continuing to take place... they should jump on board rather than fighting it, but surely it is not yet time for the battle to stop.. so some folks are going to likely need to have to suffer along the wa