Quote from: ImThour on Today at 06:10:39 AM

Quote from: Biodom on Today at 06:01:28 AM

It's not that you are the first to note that bitcoin periodically retests 200 WMA, far from it, so it is not really that big of a deal if it happens (or not).
But...have a cookie.

But some people here said it won't happen because Saylor and EL SALVADOR is on the boat with them.

Are you deluded? People here criticize your presentation style and your absolutism, so they are largely criticizing that you are way too certain in the probability assignments that you are making. Plus likely some guys (and maybe a gal too?) find your need for recognition (as sorcerer) to be a wee bit annoying.

In other words, there are very few guys who would proclaim some extreme price event is not going to happen, and surely it is a matter of degree or low probability assignment.. and sure guys do talk in absolutes, but still the point is that they were not making any claim but instead responding to you and going in the opposite extreme in reaction to your outrageous claims.

Quote from: ImThour on Today at 06:10:39 AM

Haha, What's the point of being in the market since 2014 if you can't see a similar pattern. (Not you Biodom, I like your cookie).

Nevermind. Have fun buying.

Yes a lot of us compare patterns, but they are likely in need of some kind of presentation rather than just proclaiming x is going to happen because I would like x to happen. . and here are some squiggly lines that look like some other squiggly lines that already happened... and they also show that x is going to happen.. blah blah blah.

By when are you going to be opening up subscriptions to your BTC price guru services? I am sure that many guys here would be interested, even if we may well be too shy to admit it.

Quote from: ImThour on Today at 06:18:27 AM

Quote from: Gachapin on Today at 06:14:59 AM

Quote from: ImThour on Today at 05:54:12 AM

Quote from: Gachapin on Today at 05:44:17 AM

And did it ever came to your mind, that your idea was in fact stupid, and you just got it right out of pure coincidence?
Don't you think there is the possibility that your TA has absolutely nothing to do with you being right, this time?

You haven't seen my other ideas. I won't call my idea stupid or coincidence.
I called that BTC will touch 200 Weekly Moving Average, so falling on that trendline is part of it.
My TA has absolutely everything to do with me being right this time, thanks for your time though.

I mean:
Your TA can be right or wrong. But it being right (or wrong) can be totally independent from any TA skill you might have.

You will probably notice, when your TA is failing you big time. And I promise, in bitcoinlandia you will make that experience, no matter how much confidence you have in your TA.

So from "This time" to Future analysis, funny how the odds changed.

Actually, if we are referring to the BTC price going down.. once certain support lines break, then the odds for further down can end up changing.. so something like $24.5k or even $23.5k could end up having way higher odds now as compared with its odds a month or two ago.

For example, even though yesterday is likely not exactly a great example because we are in the middle of a lot of BTC price dynamics, so it can be quite impossible to put any kind of strong confidence in assigned percentages, but in my post from yesterday that happened while the price was just below $30k and the then low was $27,758, I had placed odds of $25k or less to have been around 31%.... and yeah, of course, I am ball parking based on then current dynamics and information that was somewhat known by me.... but then now that $25k has almost been reached.. all of the odds of the uncertainty between $25k and $27,758 have been resolved because those prices have already happened... which thereby causes the odds for $25k or lower to increase..... perhaps even getting close to 40% or maybe even higher than 40%...

Yes, we can disagree about the assignment of probabilities, and for sure guys are going to criticize you way more for talking in absolutes about things in the future, even though laymen speak that way on a quite frequent basis. Even if you assign 70% or 80% odds, and I ONLY assign 40% odds, I might not even argue with you about it as much as when you seem to be assigning something close to 100% odds... I still might argue with you about 80% odds, but surely not as much as when you are proclaiming that in the past, you had actually predicted the future.. which is so obvious on its face to be untrue, even if you ended up getting it right. By the way, I predict that tomorrow the sun is going to come up.