Quote from: crypto_curious on August 17, 2022, 02:43:48 AM

Quote from: willi9974 on August 16, 2022, 09:12:16 AM

Quote from: crypto_curious on August 16, 2022, 09:07:39 AM

Quote from: willi9974 on August 16, 2022, 08:55:45 AM

Block 1 found with a luck of --> 14,26%
Block 2 found with a luck of --> 13,93%
Block 3 not found yet, luck at the moment --> 75,83%

May I ask how do you calculate this?
"luck" meaning statistical chance that block will be finally found, due to increasing number of attempts? So you calculate that chance, like pools do? For example Slushpool shows now:

Luck per Number of Blocks
10 Block Luck 115.77 %
50 Block Luck 86.08 %
250 Block Luck 92.07 %

Thanks.

The Luck is the number of all our shares what we have send to this solo pool in comparisan to the diff, also the same what the solo pool also calculate (please have a look into the solo stat link) but the pool owner named it a little better as diff --> diff": 208.0

I see in this number our luck (unter 100% and we found a block, a good luck and over 100% a bad luck).

here our last 2 blocks and the hope of the next block you can it name luck or diff or what else...

Block 1 found with a luck of --> 14,26%
Block 2 found with a luck of --> 13,93%
Block 3 not found yet, luck at the moment --> 75,83%

https://solo.ckpool.org/pool/
{"runtime": 68121593, "lastupdate": 1660641013, "Users": 2644, "Workers": 14388, "Idle": 812, "Disconnected": 410}
{"hashrate1m": "15.3P", "hashrate5m": "15.4P", "hashrate15m": "15.4P", "hashrate1hr": "15.3P", "hashrate6hr": "16.7P", "hashrate1d": "28.5P", "hashrate7d": "35.9P"}
{"diff": 208.0, "accepted": 58595401410446, "rejected": 171771757498, "bestshare": 17021964077661, "SPS1m": 327.0, "SPS5m": 334.0, "SPS15m": 337.0, "SPS1h": 337.0}

That makes sense, thanks! solo pool stats indeed show 210%, meaning pool is out of luck at the moment, as someone supposed to find block already, taking into the account amount of work done by collective of all miners. Do I understand this correctly?

For me, mining with one Apollo miner, I've yet to find a block (of course), my luck is only 0.045% due to very tiny work done so far, compared to diff required.

You are right, this pool "should have" actually find 2 block already (over 200% of luck).

I'm doing the same thing as you - mining with Apollo on solo pool. Good luck!!!!