So this is real interesting. Remember the GBTC arbitrage trade that no longer works : from bloomberg
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-03-10/-slam-dunk-bitcoin-arbitrage-fizzles-for-biggest-crypto-fund "When that happens, hedge funds swoop in to take advantage. They borrow Bitcoin, deposit the coins with GBTC in exchange for shares that are more valuable than the coins they bought, and they pocket that profit by selling the marked-up shares after a six-month lockup period expires. Thanks in part to the trade’s popularity, GBTC’s assets have swelled to over $35 billion from about $1.5 billion a year ago."
Now we are at just under 12 Billion AUM.
Did some greedy as fuck hedge funds get fucked ? 35% discount, no one wants to buy GBTC ? So they "arbitraged" thinking no risk for 34 billion probably as a group, making UNHOLY amounts of money (at first). 6 months is a long time in bitcoin. Once unlocked I guess they have shares that the market can't absorb. There just isn't any hecking liquidity, or demand for that kind of bitcoin stuck in a 2% fee vague-regulation-wise fund.
The Discount will keep discounting as they try to unload. Else they are stuck with the gbtc paying 2%.
So the guy who made GBTC is making bank even in a bear market. genius. lure em hedge funds with an arbitrage trade, then use the steam roller to make them stuck in their trades and collect that percentage. maybe i read this wrong but finance is fun. get too greedy you'll get eaten by smarter people.
edit: is this guy for real making 200 million a year in fees. Its ALMOST, ALMOST as good as stablecoin scams (every single centralized one) where they reinvest proceeds to generate returns, and when their chinese commerical paper goes belly up they can just say it didn't happen and apparently that works.
Pretty much, but the other way to look at this is the probability of getting an ETF any time soon. They're the first in line to convert to an ETF and the discount would go to 0 the second they're approved. Looks like market is not pricing in an ETF for another 10yrs or so (2% yearly fee at a current 35% discount cost of money locked etc)