Quote from: bboyz on October 26, 2022, 09:58:56 PM

Quote from: DrBeer on October 22, 2022, 06:22:36 PM

Quote from: pooya87 on October 22, 2022, 04:41:52 PM

Quote from: Sithara007 on October 21, 2022, 04:43:08 PM

Azerbaijan ships in large quantities of pipeline gas to the EU, and the pipeline goes through Georgia. And back in 2008, there was a conflict between Russia and Georgia. Since the current regime in Georgia is not very hostile to Russia, the chances are very low. But still I won't rule out the possibilities. Nigeria and the Maghreb countries (especially Algeria) are also important sources of gas to the EU, and these countries are politically very volatile. Only stable suppliers are United States, Qatar and Australia.

Exactly, all the alternative sources they have are too risky and unstable. Georgia itself is a complicated situation that at least 3 fractions are fighting each other over power, some are pro-Russia so obviously they will want to prevent such export to EU.

Speaking of Azerbaijan, things are heating up in somewhat of a media blackout. Our armed forces already crossed Aras river while all of a sudden some people in Nakhchivan declared they want to rejoin the motherland.
After the 10-day straight bombardment of the terrorist bases in Northern Iraq the crosshair is now on Baku. We have to wait and see what that leads to.

Any attempts at terrorist attacks (read - Russian) will lead to the inclusion, full-fledged, of the Turkish army. Although Erdogan is trying to play both sides, he will not miss the slightest chance to show Russia its real place in this region. Probably you will not deny that after Russia, having once again pushed the short-sighted Armenia to the conflict, having heard the statement of Turkey, cowardly put its tail between its legs and ran away from the battlefield. Leaving the unfortunate Armenians to die under the blows of the Turkish-Azerbaijani group. The only thing that Russia can try to do is to incite Iran, with its inadequate regime, which is now conducting exercises near the borders with Azerbaijan, to start a conflict there.
Russia will try its favorite methods to prevent alternative gas supplies to the EU. So it will be necessary to expect new terrorist attacks.

You have summed up the subject wonderfully with an unbiased observation.

When I take the map in my hand, I see that Greece in the west [1], Armenia in the east, and the PKK/YPG terrorist organization in the south [2] are armed against us. Thank God we have the Black Sea in our north. We are indeed in the firing line, but we are on the verge of a process that we can overcome.

However, instead of living this relentless struggle, we should have increased the welfare of our peoples by making economic cooperation. Today, about 50 thousand poor people of Armenia are working illegally in Turkey [3]. The Armenian government should try to create an environment of peace in the region instead of leaving its people to starvation by implementing irrational and aggressive policies. Although our skin colors and languages are different, we are all children of this ancient geography. We have lived together for centuries, we can do it again.

If they don't read well the motives of those who came here from across the ocean and gave them weapons, they will continue to suffer. I hope what happened to Armenia will be a good lesson for others. The moment the forces beyond the ocean retreat from their backs, it is the moment they are caught in the void.

[1] https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/Turkiye-Accuses-Greece-of-Transferring-Weapons-to-Islands--20220925-0014.html
[2] https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/war-on-terror/despite-turkeys-concerns-us-provides-2b-support-to-ypg-terrorists
[3] https://www.gazetevatan.com/gundem/oluruz-de-gitmeyiz-294487

I am sure you know the background of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict. Who there acted as an "accelerator" of the conflict, and then allegedly acted as a "peacemaker", deliberately creating another zone of tension in the east. Russia. It was Russia that staged, provoked, and by proxy arranged the massacre of the two peoples. Again, making a stuffing about "original territories", "historical justice". This is the policy of Russia - destabilization wherever possible, if someone wants to leave the sphere of influence of Russia, as, for example, Azerbaijan did hotle.
But, Russia has opened a "pandora's box" for itself - now many peoples enslaved by Muscovy / Russia will remember their history, their ancestral territories, and sooner or later Russia will "tear" into many independent states ...