Non2 of the top 10 posters from 2012 are here in 2022, I wonder if they got rich and left bitcointalk or may be dead?
Worth noting some user were active until recently
- kiba was last active as recently as March 03, 2022
- Phinnaeus Gage, MoonShadow and rjk were last active in 2020
The possibility of death is less likely, given that most of those who learn about Bitcoin are between 18 and 66 years old, and therefore adding 10 years will not change the death rate much.
The probability that they will be rich is not high, but depends on the definition of the word rich and it varies from one country to another, but if it is one of the countries where 100,000 dollars means a lot, then it will definitely be closer to being rich.
I don't think the possibility of death is that unlikely. We know for sure that Phinnaeus Gage has passed on for example. It wouldn't surprise me if others had as well. 10 years is a very long time. I look at all the things that have happened in the last 10 years in my own life and it's such a long time anything could have happened. People could be diagnosed with and lose their battle to cancer in 10 years. People could get into car accidents, not to mention if the Covid pandemic was as scary as people say, many users could have been lost to that.
Don't underestimate death and a decade of time. This is a good reason why we should appreciate who is here now. In 10 more years, it's likely many more common names on the forum will disappear.