Quote from: Z-tight on Today at 10:05:30 AM

Quote from: franky1 on December 05, 2022, 08:59:39 PM

when a bear market happens. its not a "crash". its a CORRECTION back to value after a rampant ATH temporary spike

I believe i understand the "BTC four year cycle" a bit more now.

Correct me if i am wrong, a halving happens, then followed by the bull run of which BTC will go above its previous ATH and set a new one temporarily,

bitcoins first price discovery was in 2010 not 2009. so the first cycle is off

but basically
on a halving year.
the price at start is double at end
2012 6-12 (wel 4-15 to be exact)
2016 450-900
2020 4k-8k (well actually it went up more)

then a year after halving the miners fight and push up a massive amount
2013 1.2k
2017 20k
2021 70k

Quote from: Z-tight on Today at 10:05:30 AM

and then the winter period follows with a correction back to a new value higher than what it was previously, but way lower than what the temporary ATH was. That means even at the bottom of every BTC winter season, BTC's value increases from what it was previously, but people hardly notice because they are only concerned with the ATH price.

2010-2012(pre halv) low 0.07
(post halv)2012-16(prehalv) low $15
(post halv)2016-20(prehalv) low $500
(post halv)2020-2x(prehalv) low $4k