Quote from: Daltonik on December 30, 2022, 01:29:32 PM

Quote from: linepunter on December 29, 2022, 06:34:04 PM

Fellow sports betting enthusiasts,

Have you ever wondered what the result would have been if you bet on the favorite team to win for a whole season... or what the net profit would have been if you bet on the underdog win for a whole season? Would you do better than popular bettors if you simply bet the same stake for each game on the favorite for a 2-way or 3-way outcome?

One of the most important things to learn about sports betting from the start is that just because the bookmaker rates a team as a favorite doesn't mean they will win.

Basically, the odds issued by the bookmaker can be interpreted as an implicit probabilistic forecast, but it happens that the public makes an irrational decision and supports one side or the other to a ridiculous extent. When the public's expectations are skewed, the profit maximizing bookmaker can exploit this by offering non-market efficient odds.

On our platform you can visualize a team's historical wins (teams from over 60 soccer leagues and 50 basketball leagues) filtered by their average closing odds. You can select a team, filter the odds by range and get the cumulative profit at 100 units per bet. You can also select a team without filtering it and view the historical performance and cumulative profit for the 2021-22 season and the current 2022-23 season.

Examples:

https://i.imgur.com/z7DZ2vm.png

If you had bet $100 on every Miami Heat win, the net profit would be $1799. This would give you a ROI of 12.5%.

https://i.imgur.com/cby7LfC.png

If you had bet $100 on every Miami Heat win where the odds were >=2, the net profit would be $1959. This would give you a ROI of 45.5%. With that, you would have outperformed most of the top tipsters you can find online.

https://i.imgur.com/jlpoKyq.png

Miami Heat Win Odds 1 to 2.

https://i.imgur.com/E7WAudK.png

Augsburg Win Odds >=5.

https://i.imgur.com/3oXMKD1.png

Bayern Munich vs Augsburg Head to Head

https://i.imgur.com/3lWoli9.png

Umea BSKT vs Norrköping Dolphins Head to Head

Can there be a reason why the bookmakers have adjusted their odds from an average of 9 to 2.7? After all, the Dolphins have won 7 of 7 games between them.

The main idea of the platform is to reduce the noise and bias in the betting market.

But as you can see there are many creative ways to use it.

When developing betting ideas with it, you should always keep in mind that there are no surefire certainties in betting, so manage your risk. The fractional Kelly strategy is proving to be extremely risk averse.

We offer a free 7-day trial period (with free cancellation), after the 7 days you can support the project with 10 per month, which we think is a fair price.

The Linepunter Team

https://www.linepunter.com

Welcome to the forum, since the service is paid, I would like to know what period the betting statistics cover and also on the bets of which bookmakers are based, if you can judge by the charts on the screenshots, then this is the period from 2021 or can you choose an earlier countdown time?

Thanks a lot! The statistics refer to both the previous and the current season. When analyzing and predicting match results using model-based forecasts, the previous and current seasons usually provide the best estimates.
The odds we used to visualize the performance are the average of different bookmakers.