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Re: LoyceV's Avatar for Rent [first 🦊🦊🦊3 YEARS🦊🦊🦊 (202 weeks) rented out]
by
1miau
on 08/02/2023, 01:22:51 UTC
As we've discussed, I would only do this if we had a consensus within all the participants that took part in this event. If we do not reach consensus then I'll abide by the rules and it would be available in the next giveaway.
Just a quick update: After discussing with icopress and Gazeta we've reached a consensus - Since icopress currently has some liquidity left to support his charitable actions for some time, we've decided to support yahoo62278 during a dedicated period of his life. I've got to ask to Gazeta if he ever imagined that his couch would have such a positive impact in someone's life Smiley
That's a very generous decision as well and I've sent your 1 mBTC prize money to yahoo62278's Bitcoin address: 6c2b9ac29c57a2e430ce5a4e9d95033f86cf6b78f8a5982432e96eeafe4fed20

Someone has already left a bid, yaay.  Smiley
I've also announced that I will pay shipping fees if a non-EU citizen would win.  Smiley



In addition, we've collected enough replies now how to determine a winner for our 2nd place. So, we'll look forward to the last Block mined in February 2023.
Let's set a date to predict a new Block number until February 12, 2023.

My prediction is:

Time left until February, 2023, 23.59h:
21 days
0 hours


On average, each day will be mined (1 Block per 10 minutes) 144 Blocks per day (6 Blocks per hour x 24 hours = 144 Blocks)

Calculation if we won't see any hashrate change:
(21 days * 144 Blocks per day) = 3.024 Blocks
+ (0 hours x 6 Blocks per hour) = 0 Blocks
= 3.024 Blocks until our given date

=>

3.024 + 775.506 (current Block) = 778.530


And like in our previous round, we need to adjust our prediction due to difficulty changes.
Difficulty changes are made due to hashrate changes, which are following BTC price.
Since I've expected BTC to make a nice move towards 25k by end of January and it was really close, so more miners joined the network (hashrate increased) => more Blocks were mined, I'm expecting a normalizing BTC price in February.
This time, I'm only adding a total of 2% more Blocks to be mined.

3.024 * 1,02 = 3.084,48 Blocks

=>

3.084,48 + 778.530 (current Block) = 781.614

My prediction: 774.510

Code:
Bitcointalk Account: 1miau
Last Block of February 2023: 781.614



Plz @icopress, let us know your predicted number.  Smiley Smiley