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But what many people fail to objectively recognize is capital for many/most of us plebs is limited. We need to wait, even if there's a risk that we might make our bids higher than originally intended.
We keep going over the same points are similar points, and you keep raising your points as if they were good, and they are not.
Part of the reason that your points are not good is because you assert them as if they were absolutes and you fail/refuse to put actual numbers behind your assertions.
I say that the principle of DCA and getting the fuck started applies no matter the size of the budget, and it is up to each of us to figure out how large our budget is, and sure $100 per week may well be out of reach of a lot of normies, so if you do not like to use $100 per week as your presumptive budget then tell me what kind of a budget that you would like to use.
$10 per week? or is that too much? $10 per month? The budget can be whatever.. and you can still DCA and also hold some of the value aside in order to buy on dips, too.
So, yeah maybe $10 per week feels like not enough to be able to divide or whatever, but you gotta start with something, and if your whole budget is $10 per week, then maybe you ONLY DCA with $5 per week and you save the other $5 per week for buying on dips. We can go back over these various hypotheticals if you want, and I think that you are wrong when you are suggesting to wait for a dip in 2019, when you could have had started in 2013... It is just a ridiculous assertion, and it does not even matter what the price is going to do, get the fuck started, and don't be waiting.. and in the end, you can do what you like, but really getting started seems to be the best approach and even if the amount that is invested into bitcoin is a relatively small amount, after a couple of years of investing $10 per week, or whatever, anyone who had already been investing should be in a way better position to reassess, and if the investment happens to be in the negative after a couple lf years, the right strategy is probably to just keep going.. and maybe after 4-10 years of continuing to invest the results will start to be felt better.. and even though there are no real guarantees, it is likely that we are going ot have better understandings regarding whether or how to tweak our BTC accumulation techniques rather than than if we had waited several years before we even got started... So part of the point has frequently been to get started sooner rather than later.
Imagine DCA-ing from ATH because "Get in now or have fun staying poor", then running out of capital by the DIP to $30,000, then seeing the investment go to $15,000. It's better to have waited in my opinion because we should be front-running the institutions, not them front-running us.
You seem to be mixing up DCA'ing and buying on dip. By definition, you do not run out of money when DCA'ing because you are buying the same amount every week mo matter what.
Many folks may well run out of money when buying on dip because there is a tendency to deploy extra money as the price is dipping, and as we know it keeps dipping... so part of the problem with any kind of trying to time the price direction is still figuring out how much of a dip is a dip... and it is not easy to get it correct, but with DCA, you don't try to calculate, you just establish a budget and you keep buying.
Of course, you can combine DCA and buying on dip, but that still is not necessarily asserting that you should give up on one or the other, but you could try to play both of them, and you should not get them mixed up..... even if you might say you are DCAing when you are not because some folks may well be buying more when they believe the price is lower and then buying less when the price is higher, and then such folks are NO longer DCAing, but instead employing some kind of a hybrid model.
You can create separate budgets for buying on dip and DCAing and you can also have certain strategies that you employ if a large sum of money comes to you in which you allocate parts of the money towards each of the three categories... Let's say, for example, that all of a sudden you get an extra $2,400 that comes to you, and you won the lottery or something. You could do whatever you like with that $2,400, but you also could assign 1/3 to each of the three categories.... $800 towards lump sum investing in which you buy it right away, $800 towards DCAing where you might spread it over 26 weeks or some other amount of time and in that case 26 weeks would give you nearly $31 per week.. and the remaining $800 could be for buying on dips, and maybe you already have some value that you have assigned towards buying on dips, but you just end up adding the $800 to your already existing plan.. so maybe every time the BTC price drops $1,000, you buy an additional $100 (so that prepares you down $8k from the current price.. so currently might prepare you down to $20k), but you may decide that you are not going to start to buy on dips until the price gets below $24k, and so then you might be able to add $100 per $1k drop down to $16k.. and of course, you can divide it up however you like in regards to how far you would like to prepare down for while also understanding that if the price does not drop down then you are not going to end up using that money.. and if the price drops down further you are going to run out.. so you have to figure out for yourself in regards to how you would like to balance those three categories.. and if you would rather wait than to have a plan, then that's your choice... or if you want to hypothesize that the problem is that you are too poor and blah blah blah.. then that's your choice.. I still believe that you can plan whether you are rich or poor and you just figure out how you want to deploy your budget in a way that you believe is good for your situation... and if you believe that waiting is what you want to do, then that's your choice.. even though I doubt that waiting is a good plan.. and I continue to repeat that.