The market today does not give more than 12% probability of that happening; probably much less than that.
That's why I am buying and telling others to buy.
Bitcoin has a long and glorious history that its price has had nothing to do with long-term expected value. My estimate of scenario-probability-weighted discounted 2020 value of 1 bitcoin is about $500,000 and the fact that the majority of players in the market think differently, is my advantage.