just a thought:
there is a possibility that the next halving bullrun arrives later than usual. almost everyone seems to expect a normally scheduled bullrun... and that alone should actually be enough of a reason for it not to happen. On top of that we might face some medium-term price pressure from the US Gov. sitting on 200k BTC, and from some of the 140k Gox coins...
The 2021 bull market was expected after the halving and it did arrive. Halving was in May and in November we were already at a new ATH.
the point for me is
when after the halving.
Last time it started actually earlier than expected (not around eoy like usual).
Are you saying that people weren't expecting a pump in 2020 after halving?
I'm saying that with every cycle it gets more unlikely that the bullrun follows the expected schedule with evermore people expecting said schedule.
You could already see that the last bullrun started a bit earlier, and that it had an almost double top. quite different from what most people expected.
So I wouldn't be surprised if we don't get what most people expect this time. But what do I know...
Man, i think you have reason but i have to say one thing.
One of the most important ideas in the markets and stocks is
" Never try to time the market "
And everybody try to do that, and in the long run they fall into the trap, i think it was WB who say, "Wallstreet makes money when you operate and lose when you dont".
So the less you try to catch the best point of bear to buy or the best point in the bull run to sell, better for you.
In a few words, just HODL and buy when you can, no more, and again DONT TRY TO TIME THE MARKET.
One more and last thing.
Poor chartbuddy, with the images dont working he cant share the price.