Post
Topic
Board Gambling
Merits 2 from 1 user
Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 - Main sponsor of Southampton FC 👋👋
by
buwaytress
on 05/06/2023, 13:18:25 UTC
⭐ Merited by LFC_Bitcoin (2)
But why the hell did you add those two low odds tennis matches? You already have very good odds and then you pair them with two very low odds in a sport where anything can happen.

Call it freebet insanity. I'd already used up my price boost for the day, and instead of waiting 24 hours for it to replenish, I thought, yeah let's see what's on live? Tennis. It's funny what you do with bets you win. For me, anyway Wink

I dont understand many of the bets he is posting in public but he probably wanted to increase total odds with few extra live matches.
Speaking from experience I don't like betting on such low odds, there was a time when I lost very big amount of money betting on 1.10 and 1.15 odds while trying to recover from previous loses.
But I guess betting with free bets is easier for this kind of betting adventures Wink

I'm hurt that you don't understand my bets, jk, even I have to argue with myself on my logic at times, but you know, I do much, much better when just using odds comparison to actual result. Sofascore has a nice section that publishes performance vs expectations. I quote a random match from them:

Quote
When the odds are 4.75 the expected chance of winning is 21%, but this team actually wins 1% matches with these odds.

So my simple brain goes for stats where teams win higher percentage of matches than expected on long odds. It's always skewed for teams meeting champions, I find.

Personally, I don't look at anything below 15/10, except if it's a pad for an acca, and even then maybe I go 13/10 lowest on a team I'm really confident in. Like you said, freebets are a licence for adventure Wink