Quote from: Trofo on June 04, 2023, 03:47:21 PM

But why the hell did you add those two low odds tennis matches? You already have very good odds and then you pair them with two very low odds in a sport where anything can happen.

Call it freebet insanity. I'd already used up my price boost for the day, and instead of waiting 24 hours for it to replenish, I thought, yeah let's see what's on live? Tennis. It's funny what you do with bets you win. For me, anyway Wink

Quote from: notblox1 on June 04, 2023, 07:43:33 PM

I dont understand many of the bets he is posting in public but he probably wanted to increase total odds with few extra live matches.
Speaking from experience I don't like betting on such low odds, there was a time when I lost very big amount of money betting on 1.10 and 1.15 odds while trying to recover from previous loses.
But I guess betting with free bets is easier for this kind of betting adventures Wink

I'm hurt that you don't understand my bets, jk, even I have to argue with myself on my logic at times, but you know, I do much, much better when just using odds comparison to actual result. Sofascore has a nice section that publishes performance vs expectations. I quote a random match from them:

Quote

When the odds are 4.75 the expected chance of winning is 21%, but this team actually wins 1% matches with these odds.

So my simple brain goes for stats where teams win higher percentage of matches than expected on long odds. It's always skewed for teams meeting champions, I find.

Personally, I don't look at anything below 15/10, except if it's a pad for an acca, and even then maybe I go 13/10 lowest on a team I'm really confident in. Like you said, freebets are a licence for adventure Wink