Quote from: buwaytress on Today at 03:14:40 PM

Some rip-roaring tennis today, a reminder that sports isn't dead even with club football taking a break.

Anyone took the Champions League specials?

Quote from: notblox1 on June 05, 2023, 10:09:28 PM

Dont be hurt and dont get me wrong, I like betting on underdog players and team also, but I have more realistic approach with having more chances of winning a bet.
I wont bet against Manchester City when they are smashing everyone left and right, so I dont understand when other people do it Wink

My favorite type of bet is team A winning first half, and team B win the match, but it doesnt happen very often.

Haha nah don't worry, I was just trying to be funny. If I got my feelings hurt online, I'm not sure I'd last very long in my day job...

Why do people do it? Because for the past 5 seasons, it's been so profitable betting against City (and PSG, and Bayern, etc.)! Every season, they lose between 3 to 9 league games (5 is a better idea as an average), and then maybe 3 more in cup competitions. The odds against them? I have not seen less than 4/1 (in champions league, and when they play Liverpool).

More often the odds are over 10/1 when not a top-4 team, and usually closer to 15/1 or 20/1.

It's dumb maths, 38 league games, and even in the season where they only lost 3 times, you still make money from winning 3 times and losing 35 times.

Depends on the odds when you are gambling against them. If you wager 100 bucks per game, 38 games for a season, that's 3800 dollars, if three of those are wins, that means 300 dollars to bet those, and if the return is 4-5 than it would be a big loss, even at 10x we are talking about 3k return, and you are still losing, you literally need an average of 13x return on 3 games to make that into a profit and that's very unlikely, I do not see odds 13.00 on opponents 99% of the time, they must be facing some championship level team at cup for that I suppose, not too many at premier league would have that, maybe relegation team and I doubt they would lose against them.

So all in all you need about 6-7 losses at least, that would make a lot more sense, and they may lose that much, they lost 5 for example, so if it is 8, that's a profit, still awful lot though, so you may still lose. If you did it this year, you may have lost money.