This is why dollar cost averaging or DCA is becoming a trend in this forum which makes sense. It is very hard to catch the exact start of the bull run and also the exact dips so I am also convinced that it is better to just make a monthly DCA. I just started my DCA last year and I am glad I was able to buy bitcoin at $15k levels.
but yes , we can predict at least the quarter to when will come, because mostly if we are looking back to the History , almost same thing happened after every halving.
Yeah, definitely which is the reason why we assume it will go up. Doesn't mean that it will, but at the very least it means that if the same thing happens we are going to see a huge bull run and there is no reason not to have that. I know that it will take some time but we need to wait for that to come. When the bull run comes, we are going to see if we are right or not.
The only difference is that Q4 is too specific, maybe the bull run will happen in Q3 who knows. Last time it was April that saw it at high, then crashed, then saw it high again, so we do not know how it will happen, maybe it will be distributed to two again, maybe it won't be and in a single day it will increase. We do not know exactly how it will happen, we just know that it will go up.