Quote from: shogun47 on October 10, 2023, 11:01:32 AM

Quote from: KTChampions on October 10, 2023, 08:45:04 AM

Yep. It is quite difficult to expect other quotes when a team becomes champion 11 times in a row. If you look at it from this point of view, 1.25 can even be called a generous coefficient. However, if things continue the same way for Bayern, then I will begin to doubt them. They concede a lot of goals (in the Bundesliga this is not the case, but in the season on average yes) and so far their results are very far from the expected dominance.
As for Stuttgart, they have no chance in the long term, but it will be interesting how long they can stay at the top. Bayer is naturally the more serious contender.

Calling this a generous coefficient is a bit too much I think, but yes this is also owed to the fact that Dortmund is quite inconsistent at times. They have had some good results now for a while, but all too often they fall back into their weak game again and also make massive individual mistakes. As this will be punished by Bayern more than by any other team, I think the odds are about fair. Frankly, if I had to place a bet, I would probably go with a tiny bet on a Dortmund win although history proves me also wrong I think. I can't remember when Dortmund won their last game against Bayern in Munich.

I checked and Dortmund won their last game in 2018 at home against them. And it was in April 2014 when Dortmund won their last game in Munich 3-0. Ok, my hypothetical bet would likely fail Wink

but that is why the odds are the way they are.

Why? Last year, Bavaria's quotes were consistently around 1.05-1.06 even when it was clear that it was in a deep crisis. I reason from this point of view; naturally, I will not make such a long-term bet for the sake of 25% (which, by the way, is not guaranteed). If I were to bet, it would be more likely on Bayer, Dortmund missed their ten-year chance last year, now they have to wait another 10 years Grin